Until the beginning of this year I would write on forums something along the lines of: “no warming for XXX years, but there is evidence for some melting of polar ice – that is what we would expect after the little ice-age”.
Then Tony Heller pointed out that globally sea ice was back to normal (now rising).
Then we heard that Antarctic ice had been INCREASING. also sea ice.
That left one real substantial pillar of the global warming religion: there had been studies showing Greenland ice had decreased.
Now today I read this report from the Danish site: Weather, Climate and Ocean Current Surface Mass Budget of the Greenland Ice Sheet, which shows that Greenland surface ice-mass has also been increasing.
So let me now review the main evidence I had for CO2 warming:
- Even though 69% suspect the temperature record has been tampered with, it is still safe to say there was an apparent temperature increase large enough to turn a predominate cooling scare into a warming scare. So, whilst we can’t ignore instrumentational errors and outright fraud, underneath was an apparent trend large enough to persuade those who then believed in global cooling. STILL TRUE
- CO2 levels have risen. There’s debate about how much of this rise is due to mankind, but the fact it has risen is not in dispute. STILL TRUE
- There is a scientific basis for the CO2 blanket. This is only large enough for a fraction of the predicted warming, but the fundamental, but small direct increase due to CO2 is based on reasonably sound science STILL TRUE
- There are indicators that the temperature may have changed. E.g. a small change in Arctic ice NOW FALSE and Himalaya glaciers. (False?) But these indicators are all dubious. NOW: CONTRARY TO CURRENT WARMING
- I’m going to add in sea level rise – even though the evidence points to a deacceleration of sea level rather than the necessary acceleration. NOW TAKE OUT
Now let me add in all the evidence for criminal activity:
Evidence of Criminal activity, fraud and corruption
- Climategate showed attempts to “get rid of medieval warming” and “hide the decline”. As this research was cited when applying for funds, it amounts to fraud.
- East Anglia University broke Freedom of Information law (but were not prosecuted due to time delay – although conspiracy to break FOI law doesn’t seem to have the same time limit)
- The Inquiries into Climategate showed widespread and high profile conspiracy to break the law and pervert the course of justice.
- NASA have repeated been found to have dishonestly cooled the past.
- NOAA have broken US law by refusing to comply with a lawful subpoena from their oversight committee.
- The fact NOAA will not disclose emails as the law requires, is very strong evidence that they have altered global temperature to fabricate a warming trend.
- Gleick committed a criminal act when he stole emails from Heartland.
- The continued use of out of date CO2 warming figures based on out of date HITRAN data when the new data shows considerably less warming.
- The BBC libel of sceptics and various other hate crimes by the BBC and like minded people.
- Shukla who syphoned off public money into a company run by all his relatives in what clearly looks extremely dubious: Uh, oh. Jagdish Shukla and the #RICO20 has captured the attention of Congress, and FOIA documents are coming out
- The Hockeystick – which no doubt started as a mistake by Mann, but which due to his failure to come clean, his repeated and false claim to be a Nobel laureate and other daft claims and assertions and his use of this bogus material to get funds and generally benefit himself, seems to constitute fraud.
Note: the only potential “crime” by any sceptic is the alleged “hack” of emails which the information commission later ruled should have been in the public domain. So the worst that can be said, is that if any hack occurred, it merely forced the UEA to comply with the law. (although I suspect it was an insider disgusted with their behaviour).
With the recent scandal at NOAA whereby they and NASA fabricated warming, it is now clear that none of the surface measurements can be trusted. As such, given that Antarctic and now Arctic ice is gaining in volume and not melting, and given the widespread corruption in the subject, it is now safe to say that there is no credible evidence of current warming. With no trends in extreme weather, floods, droughts, children know what snow is, CO2 the plant food is leading to record harvests and greening deserts, etc., there is now no credible evidence of any harm and indeed significant evidence of positive benefits.
Therefore I declare that Global Warming – the theory that said we should now be seeing massive warming and catastrophic effects – is disproved.
The data shows surface ice level is increasing. If temperature were affecting the ice, the first place we would expect to see melting is at the surface and therefore this is strong evidence that over the period 1990-present, that Greenland has not been melting. This however is not the same as “Greenland ice-mass” (as originally written). This would need to take account of glacier calving – a process which may reflect an “excess” accumulation of ice 10s of thousands of years ago (i.e. during the ice-age) and so the rate is not a good indication of what current temperature is doing as there need not be any correlation with present temperature.