Doing things outside climate for a while has given me a new perspective. So it was interesting reading the post on Bishop Hill. I’ve never doubted that Steyn would win in a fair courtroom. And when I saw the appalling lies from Mann’s submissions to the court it seemed Steyn would win in even a wholly biased court.
However, from the “body language” described by Bishop Hill, it now appears that most of his “team” (if that is still a relevant term) don’t much care for him either.
And it all seems so civilised – giving him the “cold shoulder” in public. But don’t they see the implications when Mann loses? As far as the public are concerned Mann – or at least the notorious hockey stick is “global warming”. So, when Mann loses, it will show that “global warming” is wrong and every single climate academic from Hansen to Curry to Jones to Spencer will be tarred with the same brush as having been found guilty of … how to put this “it being reasonable to suggest fraud”.
So what are they thinking? The answer seems to me that global warming is more a huge cock-up than any conspiracy. Because if there was some master-mind co-ordinating this scam, then they would have had the sense to ditch Mann a long time ago and certainly would not have gone to the edge like this.
And when the case goes against Mann, there’s no way the academic world of “science” can dismiss its own part in it. Because as Mann has put so well, there have been many investigations which had the opportunity to investigate Mann’s malpractice and not once did any of them do the job thoroughly leaving it eventually to the verdict of the court.
After the court
I’ve no doubt that a host of professional writers are even now beavering away looking to capitalise on the market for climate conspiracy post the Mann trial. And, when others see the success this first group have, then they’ll be joined until there’s a whole genre of “climate/science conspiracy” books and novels capitalising on the freedom to portray climate science as dishonest and corrupt so that soon they will make Dr Strangelove look like a text book.
So what options?
- Try to fiddle climate data (I just put this in for a laugh)
- Try to persuade Mann to drop the case – and end his career in ignominy. And would he play along? Is he competent enough to play along?
- Try to buy off Mann to end the case with some important job (who would give him an important job?)
- Try to buy off Steyn – who must now know he will win – so it will be hugely expensive and would he take it?
- Buy the court – it will have crossed their minds. I’ve no idea how easy it is to buy US judges, but even if its feasible, this case is too clear cut even for a corrupt judge.
- Kill either Steyn or more likely Mann … that seemed the only option … but now I’ve remembered that cases have continued after the litigants death.
- Change the law (not easy to do in retrospect)
- For the “scientists” to start attacking Mann to portray him as having tricked them. There’s no sign of this and it’s rather late in the day now.
No, the only option I can see, is to quietly suggest to the judge that this case is “kicked into the long grass” in the hope everyone else who will get caught in the shit when this explodes can stay out of the fray until their retirement.