The Academic Ape: Instinctive aggression and boundary enforcing behaviour in academia

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The Academic Ape: Instinctive aggression and boundary enforcing behaviour in academia

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Posted in Climate, Humour, My Best Articles, science | Tagged | 87 Comments

Thankyou everyone that voted for Brexit

The moment I first suspected we had won, was in the counting hall, which moments before had been filled without about 20 SNP scrutineers, who suddenly left leaving only us 3 brexiteers.

At first, I thought it would be close, perhaps even a few thousand votes. But as the night progressed it became clearer and clearer that it was a resounding vote for brexit.

It was one of the most audacious victories ever. We in Brexit were fighting almost the entire British state, media, academics, the BBC were almost single handedly running their own pro-EU campaign as was much of the rest of the press.

And we won – all down to the work of the many individuals and I have to say it UKIP.

Thanks

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Initial indications of change post brexit

After all the gloom and doom predicted by every “expert” pre-brexit, and the failure of another group of “experts” to predict the outcome of brexit (which was very certain all the way and only became less certain after the tragic and hard to explain murder of Jo Cox) it was not at all surprising to those of us who are not termed “experts” that the markets would take a short nose dive (into the trough seems at apt thing to add jokingly).

The big losers appear to be house builders and banks. House builders are really annoyed that if we have controlled immigration then there will be less demand to carpet our green belt with houses. And it was obvious that house builders were actively encouraging governments to promote immigration in a short-termist sale of greenbelt for their profits.

And as demand slackens, the other great nose in the trough industry of the bank lender also takes a nose dive, because as house prices will also become more affordable – and if houses are more affordable, our children need lower mortgages and so unlike our generation, they will not spend half their working lives paying for fat bankers to get fatter through massive mortgages.

I haven’t checked, but no doubt the other  big fall is in BIG GREEN – the companies promoting the further destruction of our country by wind, and all the parasitic “green” (as in sickening) industry.

The gainers

The big gainers from Brexit will be small/industrial companies. For obvious reasons those with their snouts in the trough in the “city” have least understanding or knowledge of how these people will benefit from brexit and even less clue how the flourishing small and industrial sector will feed through – ironically to bigger profits in the city.

So, expect a slow but steady increase in stock market prices and the pound as bit by bit the markets learn of an apparently unconnected series (to them) of improved performances over the next few years from those companies big enough to be listed and on the city radar – who deal with the small guy or are part of the remaining UK industrial base.

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The dawn of freedom for the whole of Britain

I have just heard that it is now impossible for leave to lose the EU referendum.

indexThis is a landmark for Great Britain and marks the beginning of a new era in our history as a United Britain – echoing the first “brexit speech” some 2000 years ago by a Caledonian leader Calgacus:CalgacusOf course, in Scotland, our PM spent much of the campaign threatening that if the UK voted to leave the EU that she would quickly launch a second referendum for Scotland to leave Britain.

I knew that was a  bluff. We recently voted against that in Scotland, and with a large drop in the oil price (which was the foundation of the SNP economic case) there is no way there will be more support now.

It was a bluff – and now the SNP bluff has been called, and almost immediately we are hearing SNP politicians rapidly back peddling on the “commitment”.

So, there is no question of an imminent breakup of the UK. Indeed, what is far more like is firstly the resignation of Cameron – and secondly a period of intense infighting within the SNP as they discover they were lied to by their leadership.

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How to hide a political murder?

What is the best way to hide the fact that the moon landings were a waste of public money? How do you prevent any politician investigating NASA?

The answer is simple – you create a PR group whose sole purpose is to manufacture conspiracy theories about the moon landing – and then if any politician gets close to revealing the actual dirty secrets of NASA – you accuse them of being a “moon landing conspiracist”. Indeed, with luck you don’t even need the PR group – because if conspiracies develop “by themselves” – you can just use them.

In other words, if you “nurture” conspiracies that can be defended very easily, you can use these to hide the real conspiracy that obviously cannot be defended.

Thus, I suspect one of the hallmarks of a state sponsored political murder is a campaign to manufacture conspiracies. In other words, in order to hide a real conspiracy, one leaves false trails of “breadcrumbs” which are easily followed – and which will inevitably be pursued, but they only lead “conspiracy investigators” on a wild goose chase to laughably easily defending conclusions – thus diverting them (and serious investigators) away from the real conspiracy.

So, assuming those engaging in political murders are aware of how the public behave as I am, one hallmark of an actual state (or similar body) sponsored political murder would be a large number of false trails. Thus for an actual state sponsored murder we would expect in rapid succession a number of “conspiracy theories” to develop based on “clues” that then turn out to be false or misleading.

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Just remember to vote

After delivering around 6000 leaflets, I pleased to say Brexit have won the argument. I’m yet to see any argument from remain that relates to the EU we have now. The best I can say about those people still voting remain is that they believe in  some fictional fairytale EU that does not exist.

All we need to do now is get out and vote.

Good luck for our first independence day.

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If you have any doubts about leaving the EU – watch this!

After what is a weak start it becomes one of the most remarkable videos I’ve seen on the EU. I’ve no idea who he is but I keep thinking he’s one of the Monty Python team he’s that good.

Also well worth watching (and you’ll not see this on the BBC)

Brexit the Movie
https://www.brexitthemovie.com

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Prediction: Strong La Nina

As many will already know, the predicted El Nino has come and gone and far from seeing a “step up” in global temperatures as the idiots predicted, as I predicted we have seen a faster than expected drop in El Nino conditions.

Now, I am predicting a stronger than normal La Nina.

As far as I am aware, for most people the effects of a La Nina are far less problematic than El Nino, so quite rightly there will be little concern if we get strong La Nina conditions. It will of course annoy the hell out of the idiots who pushing global warming propaganda, but almost all science and all factual evidence annoys them.

What would be expected is that global temperatures will see a strong decline over the next 5-10 years (that is to say, in the short term the decline should be strong enough to dominate over other natural variations and produce a significant downward trend). Then at some point we’ll see the development of more El Nino conditions and predictions then become problematic – that is to say, I need to know more about the way the climate functions to predict further out.

Paradoxically, whilst (I anticipate) global temperature will be in its least exciting phase, I would suggest we will learn more in the next 10-20 years about the way our climate works than all the “knowledge” presented in all the IPCC reports (which is not a lot – because they leave out all the science to present pure propaganda).

But who am I kidding? Climate academics are amongst the biggest idiots on the planet. So all I can really say is that I expect to learn far more about climate in the next 10-20 years than I have ever learnt from any IPCC report.

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Is human intelligence a parasitic life-form?

I started a response to Mark – Helsinki  on the article “The Academic Ape: Instinctive aggression and boundary enforcing behaviour in academia” and it prompted me to think of a long forgotten idea about human intelligence which “I” thought worth recording.

We are all used to the idea that humans are “alive” in the normal sense that any animal is alive. We know that all (not dead) animals are “alive”, so are plants and bacteria, but the definition of “life” becomes someone blurred when we start to consider “lifeforms” like virus which are almost entirely DNA. This DNA does not itself “live” instead it does nothing except invade a host and cause it to reproduce the same DNA (with the odd error).

But then, what is DNA, except pure information! Information which we are now just(?) capable of translating into numbers, sending those numbers across the internet and then recreating at the other end as DNA.

But if we take the idea that DNA is a “lifeform”, then why not any other piece of information? What is the criteria of “living”. If it is reproduction, then not only are viruses alive, but by the same definition wouldn’t ideas that we have in our brain be alive? Because they can be transmitted like a virus.

Take for example this very idea that ideas are a living organism. If you then accept that as a result of reading this blog, then like the virus being transmitted over the internet, then this idea has gone through the internet, lodged in your brain and is now resident there and (in the right conditions of a suitable host) can be able to reproduce yet again by being spread to another person.

So, ideas can behave in some senses like a living organism – at least as much alive as any virus.

Mark’s comments were that:

Success is sought within that lifetime, rather than a search for truth which may have to be handed on generation after generation, history shows us scientists who operated in this way, the giants we stand on the shoulders of, giants that are far and few between in modern times.

This is what triggered me to think of this, because here, the ideas that constitute “science” are a body of information, that like human DNA is handed down from generation to generation. Indeed, we may consider the evolution of ideas to be like the recombination of virus information, except in the case of human ideas, the information content can be increased from knowledge/ideas formed from the real world.

So, unlike human DNA this body of information can mutate within a generation generating new ideas, but otherwise the information of “ideas” and the information of DNA in a virus are very similar: both do not live themselves, but instead they require a host organism to do the work to enable them to spread between us.

But now we run into the big problem, because what really constitutes “us” may not be our human bodies, but the thoughts that inhabit our brains. That is to say, the real “us” is not our physical selves, which may be considered an empty receptacle  – but instead “us” may be the  collection of largely foreign ideas that like an alien species invades our brains and there lives off our bodies using us like a parasitic virus to transmit itself to a new host.

And, unlike our physical bodies which are born and die and there is only one of them, the “dna” of ideas can spread from one person to another much like a virus, so that ideas are a life form largely free from physical constraint.

As such, rather than “scientists … [being] the giants we stand on the shoulders of, giants“, we may need to see the mere human body as an unintelligent receptacle for the ideas of which we call one science. And that in a sense science develops as a separate living entity evolving in a parasitism way using the human body to live.

But if so, intelligence itself may also be largely parasitic, so rather than “science” being a parasite on “us”, what constitutes “us” are the ideas that use our bodies for sustenance. As such “science” may not be a parasite on “us”, but instead the ideas of science and the ideas that constitute what we consider “us”, may be co-existing parasites on our poor dumb thought free bodies.

As such, when science develops, it is not so much because we humans develop ideas, but because ideas gain a fertile human on which they can feed and grow.

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The Physics of falling over

The physics of falling particularly related to rough ground appears to be one of those areas which for some reason hasn’t had a lot of research. This article sets out the various issues and is an initial stab at trying to get to grips with this subject. Comments are welcome.

Note: no toddlers were injured or killed during the making of this article.

For reasons which are too complex to explain here,  I wanted to create a model explain how the roughness of terrain affects human locomotion. After a great deal of reading & research to try to find already available work, I found there was very little research into human movement on rough ground and nothing that could answer the specific question of how the roughness of the ground affects humans.

After failing to find research, I then considered how I might find suitable data, but realising there are big issues for this research, I then tried to work out whether it would be possible to create a theoretical model so as to predict the behaviour of humans on rough terrain and derive some useful information that way.

That then led me to the question: “what is it about rough terrain that is a problem to humans on foot and how does this affect us?” And my suggestion is that the key issue relates to “falling over” as well as energy needed.

Previous authors have attempted to model the effect of terrain using a “terrain factor”. For example see: Pandolf et al. “Prediction Modeling of Physiological Responses and Soldier Performance in the Heat

These authors derive an equation similar to that below for the metabolic energy usage:

M = 1.5W+2.0(W+L)(L/W) 2+n(W+L)[1.5(Vw)2+0.35GVW] Continue reading

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TV maker Panasonic says it has developed the world’s best weather model

electronics company Panasonic says the company has been running its own global model for several years on an 11,000-core supercomputer. And that PWS model, he said, has not only been outperforming the GFS model but has become competitive with the gold-standard ECMWF model. “We started the global model development in 2008 and finally got to the point where we were outperforming ECMWF by late last year,” Jacobs said.

There are various ways to measure model accuracy, but one of the most widely recognized is “anomaly correlation” at the 500mb, or mid-level of the atmosphere, over a 30-day average. Higher scores are better. Recently, Jacobs said, the PWS model has scored a .926, compared to a .923 for the ECMWF and .908 for the GFS. Essentially, then, a team of five weather modelers and five software engineers, as well as about 20 meteorologists and computer modeling experts at universities under contract, claims to have beaten the best government weather forecasting centers in the world.

http://arstechnica.com/science/2016/04/tv-maker-panasonic-says-it-has-developed-the-worlds-best-weather-model/

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